Projects & Project Management
What a project is, what managing one involves, why so many fail, and how an organisation decides which projects to fund in the first place: screening, the business case, the investment numbers (NPV, ROI, payback) and the charter that finally says "go". Everything later in the subject happens inside a project that has passed through these gates.
- You willtell a project from a process and from operations, and explain the triple constraint.
- You willdescribe the PM process, phase gates, the PM's roles and how Agile shifts them to servant leadership.
- You willuse CHAOS data to discuss success and failure, and say how good PM counters each cause of failure.
- You willcompute NPV, ROI and payback by hand, and write a business case and charter for Medic.
Process, Product, Project and Operations
Before you can manage a project you need to know exactly what one is, and what it is not. Four words get blurred all the time in everyday speech: process, product, project and operations. This section pulls them apart, because almost every later idea in the subject (the business case, the charter, the plan, Scrum) assumes you can tell them apart.
Process and product
A process, in the Week 1 slides' words, is "a systematic series of actions or steps taken to achieve a specific goal". In project work it covers planning, executing, monitoring and controlling all aspects of a project. Scrum, waterfall and a change-control procedure are all processes.
The product is the output of the process. In software, the product is not just the running system: it is the system plus its artefacts, such as documents, tests and manuals. An artefact is any thing the work produces along the way that someone can read or use.
So if a team ships working code but no user guide, no tests and no maintenance notes, they have delivered only part of the product.
Why the subject cares so much about process
In 1986 Parnas and Clements wrote a famous paper with a cheeky title, A Rational Design Process: How and Why to Fake It. Their argument has two halves. First, nobody can actually follow a perfectly rational process that runs straight from requirements to finished product: users don't know everything they want at the start, important details only surface late, and requirements change. Second, we should still document the product as if we had followed such a process, because a defined process guides the team and makes life easier for the people who review and maintain the work later.
The opposite of a defined process is ad hoc work, where people just do whatever seems right at the moment. The slides' verdict is that ad hoc work rarely succeeds. They give three reasons for the subject's focus on process:
Foundation for success
A defined way of working is what successful projects are built on.Industry relevance
Real employers run their work through processes, so you need to know them.Skills
Learning processes builds the professional skills you will use on every project.What a project is exam
The slides, following PMBOK (the Project Management Body of Knowledge, the Project Management Institute's standard guide), define a project as "a temporary endeavour to create a unique product, service or outcome".
Two words in that definition do most of the work. Temporary means the project has a start and an end; unique means it has not been done before in exactly this form. The slides expand the definition into six key characteristics.
Taking each in turn: a project introduces change (after it, the organisation works differently); it is temporary, with a defined beginning and end, although its outcome may last for decades; it is cross-functional, cutting across organisational boundaries such as IT, the users, finance and outside vendors; it deals with the unknown, so it carries uncertainty and risk; it is unique; and it varies in size, whether you measure that in people, dollars or time.
Textbooks add three more features. A project has a sponsor, the senior person who pays for it and champions it. It has a specific objective. And its details are progressively elaborated, which means they are filled in gradually as the team learns more, rather than all being known on day one.
Project versus process versus operations
A project is most often confused with the two things on either side of it. The key contrast is that a project is temporary and unique, whereas a process is reused across many projects and operations (also called Business As Usual, or BAU: the day-to-day running of the organisation) goes on indefinitely.
| Process | Project | Operations (Business As Usual) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nature | Repeatable way of working | Temporary, unique endeavour | Ongoing, repetitive work |
| Duration | Reused across projects | Defined start and end | Indefinite |
| Example | Scrum, change-control procedure | Build the Medic simulator | Help desk, backups, payroll |
The three fit together in a chain. A project uses a process, and once the project hands its product over, that product moves into operations. In the Medic case (the tutorials' running case study, introduced fully in 1.11: a virtual-reality surgical simulator built for a Melbourne eye and ear hospital), the hospital's own IT department, RVEEH IT, maintains the simulator after handover. Building the simulator is the project; keeping it running afterwards is operations.
Don't call ongoing work a project. Running the help desk, doing nightly backups or paying staff every fortnight are operations: they have no planned end and they repeat. A project is temporary and unique.
Why organisations use projects
If projects are risky and temporary, why not just do everything as part of normal operations? The slides give six reasons why organisations deliberately package work into projects.
- Strategic alignment. Key activities line up with the organisation's strategy, with visibility at the right levels of management.
- A way to prioritise work, whether the driver is benefits, regulation or a hardware refresh.
- Structured change. Change is delivered in a structured, formal way, outside Business As Usual, so it doesn't disrupt daily operations.
- Efficient use of limited resources: people and money are scarce.
- Ownership and accountability for both the process and the benefits.
- Clarity, buy-in and agreement on what will be done, when, by whom, why, and with what outcomes.
Programmes and portfolios
Projects rarely live alone. A programme groups related projects so that together they deliver shared benefits, and a portfolio is the whole set of an organisation's projects and programmes.
Check yourselfSelect all that are projects (MRQ: 2 or 3 are correct).- Building the Medic surgical simulator
- Running the hospital's IT help desk
- Scrum
- Moving the payroll system to a new vendor over six months
- Nightly database backups
A and D. Both are temporary (they end), unique and introduce change. B and E are operations: ongoing and repetitive, with no planned end. C is a process, a reusable way of working that many projects can use.
Check yourselfThe Sydney Opera House will be used for centuries. Does that contradict the claim that a project is "temporary"?
No. Temporary describes the project (the building work), which had a defined start and end. The slides say explicitly that the project is temporary "although its outcome may last". The finished building is the long-lived outcome; using it is operations.
Check yourselfA team delivers working simulator code on time but no tests, no user guide and no maintenance notes. Have they delivered the product?
Only part of it. In software the product is the system plus its artefacts: documents, tests and manuals. Without them, RVEEH IT (operations) cannot maintain it after handover.
- A process is a reusable series of steps; the product is its output (system + artefacts).
- A project is "a temporary endeavour to create a unique product, service or outcome": it brings change, is temporary, cross-functional, deals with the unknown, is unique and varies in size.
- Operations (BAU) is ongoing; projects hand their product over to it. Programmes group related projects; the portfolio holds them all.
Project Management and the Triple Constraint
A project is temporary, unique and full of unknowns, so left alone it drifts: it runs late, costs more than promised and delivers the wrong thing. Project management is the discipline that stops that drift. This section defines it, shows the one picture every PM carries in their head (the triple constraint), and introduces the three broad approaches to running a project.
Two definitions exam
"The planning, delegating, monitoring and controlling of all aspects of a project, and motivating those involved to achieve the project objectives within the expected targets for time, costs, quality, scope, benefits and risks."
"The application of knowledge, skills, tools, and techniques to project activities to meet project requirements." PMI is the Project Management Institute, which publishes PMBOK.
The slides' version is the more useful one to learn, because it lists both the verbs (plan, delegate, monitor, control, motivate) and the six targets a PM is held to: time, costs, quality, scope, benefits and risks. PMI's version is short and general: PM is just applying know-how to project work so that it meets its requirements.
Where project management adds value
Why pay for a project manager at all? According to the slides, PM adds value in six ways:
The triple constraint (iron triangle) exam
Every project is squeezed by three limits at once: how much it must deliver, how long it has, and how much it can spend. The slides draw these as the three sides of a triangle, often called the iron triangle because its sides are locked together.
A triangle whose three sides are Resources (cost), Scope and Time. Inside it sits the phrase "under budget, ahead of schedule, exceeding expectations", which stands for quality. Scope means everything the project must deliver: its features and the work needed to build them.
The point of the triangle is that its sides are linked: change one side and at least one other must change, or quality suffers. Step through the Medic example below to see the four ways a PM can respond when the scope grows.
- The slides' triple constraint: three linked sides, Resources (cost), Scope and Time, with quality in the middle. Right now the Medic plan is in balance.
- The Medic clients ask for "replay with force feedback". That is more scope, so the Scope side gets longer. A triangle can't have one side grow while the other two stay fixed, so something else has to give.
- Option 1: extend the time. The project delivers the extra feature, just later. The Time side grows to match.
- Option 2: add people or money. More developers (Resources) build the extra feature in the same time, at higher cost.
- Option 3: drop another feature. Swap a less valuable feature out, so total scope stays the same size and time and cost can hold.
- Option 4: accept lower quality. If the PM refuses all three trades, the team squeezes more work into the same time and money, and quality, in the middle, is what suffers. The PM must choose one of these four deliberately.
The slides' triangle is not "time, cost, quality". Its sides are time, resources (cost) and scope, with quality in the middle. Many websites draw it differently; in this subject, use the slides' version.
The triangle has critics. They argue that it misses three more things that matter just as much, which together with the original three make up the "six triple constraints": quality, risk and customer satisfaction (ProjectSmart 2009).
Three approaches to managing a project
The PMI reading describes three broad approaches, which Part II and Part III develop in detail. The choice depends mainly on how settled the requirements are.
- A predictive approach suits stable requirements: you plan up front and run the phases in sequence (waterfall is the classic example).
- An adaptive approach suits volatile requirements (ones that keep changing): it works iteratively (repeating short cycles) and incrementally (delivering the product in growing slices). Scrum is adaptive.
- A hybrid approach mixes the two.
Check yourselfWhich correctly describes the slides' triple constraint?- Time, cost and quality, with scope in the middle
- Resources (cost), scope and time, with quality in the middle
- Scope, risk and quality, with customer satisfaction in the middle
- Time, scope and benefits, with risk in the middle
B. The sides are Resources (cost), Scope and Time; the phrase "under budget, ahead of schedule, exceeding expectations" in the middle stands for quality. A is the popular misquote the pitfalls list warns about. C mixes in the critics' extra constraints.
Check yourselfHalfway through Medic, the sponsor says the simulator must be ready one month earlier, and nothing else is to change. Using the triple constraint, what should the PM tell them?
The sides are linked, so shrinking Time forces another change. The PM can offer: add resources (more people or money, so higher cost), reduce scope (for example, defer save and replay), or, if neither is allowed, warn that quality will suffer. "Nothing else changes" is not an option the triangle permits.
Check yourselfList the six targets in the slides' definition of project management.
Time, costs, quality, scope, benefits and risks. A useful memory hook: the first four extend the triangle (time, cost, scope plus quality in the middle), and the last two (benefits, risks) look beyond delivery to why the project exists and what could go wrong.
Check yourselfA team is building a tax calculator whose rules are fixed by law for the next three years. Which approach fits best: predictive, adaptive or hybrid?
Predictive. The requirements are stable, so planning everything up front and running the phases in sequence works well. Adaptive approaches earn their keep when requirements are volatile.
- Project management is planning, delegating, monitoring, controlling and motivating to hit targets for time, costs, quality, scope, benefits and risks.
- The triple constraint links Resources (cost), Scope and Time, with quality in the middle: change one side and another must change, or quality suffers. Critics add quality, risk and customer satisfaction.
- Approaches range from predictive (stable requirements) through hybrid to adaptive (volatile requirements).
The PM Process, Planning and Gates
Knowing what project management is doesn't tell you what a PM actually does from Monday to Friday, or in what order. PMBOK answers that with five process groups; the slides add a planning cycle and the idea of breaking a project into phases with gates, so that nobody commits all the money on day one.
Five process groups
PMBOK organises project work into five process groups. Four of them follow one another in time; the fifth, monitoring and controlling, runs alongside the others and feeds back into them. Step through the diagram to build it up.
- PMBOK organises a PM's work into five process groups. It starts with Initiating: the business case is approved, the charter is signed and the stakeholders are identified. (All three are explained later in this Part.)
- Planning works out how the project will be done: its scope, schedule, cost, quality, risk and communication.
- Executing does the work and manages the team.
- Monitoring and Controlling does not wait its turn: it runs alongside the other groups. It tracks progress against the baselines, takes corrective action and controls change, and its findings feed back into planning and execution.
- Closing hands the product over, gets formal acceptance and records lessons learned. Initiating, planning, executing and closing follow one another; monitoring and controlling wraps around them.
A baseline is an approved, frozen version of part of the plan (the scope, schedule or cost baseline) that progress is measured against. If the plan says "feature X done by week 6, costing $40k", that is baseline data; monitoring compares what really happened with it.
Planning is a cycle
The Week 1 slides present planning itself as a cycle. It runs from the charter and scope to the schedule, then resources, budget and cost, quality, risk and communication, and then back to the start.
Because planning keeps cycling, the plan is a living document: it is updated as the team learns. Its baselines for scope, schedule and cost, however, change only through formal change control (LinkedIn reading), so that nobody quietly moves the goalposts. The plan itself is covered in Part V, and change control in Part X.
Phases with management reviews exam
The biggest risk with a big project is pouring money into something that has stopped making sense. The answer is to split the project into phases, each ending at a gate (also called a "kill point") where management makes a go/no-go decision before committing more money.
- A project is split into phases, and each phase ends at a gate (gold diamond), a management review sometimes called a "kill point". Money is committed one phase at a time. Phase 1 runs and spends its budget.
- At Gate 1 management does four things: re-checks the business case (is the project still worth doing?), approves the deliverables of Phase 1, re-plans the next phase with the better information now available, and catches problems early. The answer is go, so money for Phase 2 is released.
- Phase 2 runs and spends its budget.
- At Gate 2 the business case no longer holds (say, the benefits have shrunk). The decision is no-go: the project is killed before Phase 3 starts.
- The payoff: the money already spent is a sunk cost (gone, whatever you decide now), but the Phase 3 budget is never spent. Gates let a failing project be stopped before sunk costs pile up.
A past exam asked: "Why are phases with management reviews used?" List the four things a gate does (re-check the business case, approve deliverables, re-plan the next phase with better information, catch problems early) and then the payoff: money is committed in stages, so a failing project can be stopped before sunk costs pile up.
Check yourselfPast exam, predecessor subject 433-443, 1998 Q1 State the objective of software project management and describe the PM process.
Objective. To deliver software that meets its requirements and quality on time and within budget, with limited resources and managed risk. PM achieves this by planning, organising, leading, controlling and motivating.
Process.
- Initiating produces the business case and the charter, and identifies the stakeholders.
- Planning produces the WBS (work breakdown structure), estimates, schedule and budget, the quality, risk and communication plans, and the baselines.
- Executing builds the product and manages the team.
- Monitoring and controlling runs throughout: it tracks progress against the baselines, reports, corrects, and controls change.
- Closing covers acceptance, handover and lessons learned.
Monitoring feeds back into re-planning. (This model answer is the study guide's, not an official one.)
Check yourselfWhich process group runs alongside all the others rather than in sequence?- Initiating
- Planning
- Monitoring and Controlling
- Closing
C. Initiating, planning, executing and closing follow one another; monitoring and controlling runs alongside them, tracking against baselines and feeding back into planning and execution.
Check yourselfIf the plan is a "living document", why can't the PM simply update the schedule baseline whenever the team falls behind?
Because then the baseline would measure nothing: the project would always be "on schedule". The plan can evolve, but its baselines (scope, schedule, cost) change only through formal change control, so that every change to the targets is visible and approved.
- PMBOK's five process groups: initiating, planning, executing, closing in sequence, with monitoring and controlling alongside, feeding back.
- Planning is a cycle (charter, scope, schedule, resources, budget and cost, quality, risk, communication), so the plan is living, but baselines change only through formal change control.
- Gates (kill points) end each phase with a go/no-go decision, so a failing project can be stopped before sunk costs pile up.
Knowledge Areas and Organisation Structures
Two older topics round out the picture of project management. PMBOK's knowledge areas carve PM into subjects a PM must master, and the organisation structure decides how much power the PM actually has to use them. Neither is in the 2026 slides as a headline topic, but both appeared on predecessor subjects' exams, so the guide keeps them.
PMBOK knowledge areas older exam topic
A knowledge area is a field of PM expertise, such as managing cost or managing risk. Older PMBOK editions name four core knowledge areas, the ones that lead directly to project objectives: scope, time, cost and quality. Four facilitating areas support them (human resources, communications, risk and procurement), and integration ties all of them together. The 5th and 6th editions of PMBOK list ten areas instead.
Notice how the four core areas line up with the triple constraint from 1.2: scope, time and cost are its sides, and quality sits in the middle. Procurement means buying goods or services from outside suppliers.
Organisation structures older exam topic
How much power a PM has depends heavily on how the organisation is structured. In a functional organisation, staff belong to departments (engineering, finance and so on) run by functional managers. In a projectised organisation, staff belong to projects run by PMs. A matrix organisation is a mix: staff belong to a department and work on projects, so they have two bosses. A "weak" matrix leans functional; a "strong" matrix leans projectised.
Reading the table from left to right, the PM's authority, budget control and time on the project all grow, but each structure brings its own main problem.
| Functional | Matrix (weak → strong) | Projectised | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PM authority and resources | Little or none | Low → moderate to high | High to almost total |
| Budget control | Functional manager | Functional → mixed → PM | PM |
| PM role | Part-time coordinator | Part-time → full-time | Full-time |
| Main issue for PM | No authority; project work comes second | "Two bosses", conflict over staff and priorities | Duplicated resources; staff idle when the project ends |
The biggest disadvantage of a functional structure for a PM is that the PM has little or no formal authority over resources. Staff are prioritised by their functional managers, so the PM must negotiate for people, and the project ends up competing with departmental work.
Check yourselfPast exam, predecessor subject 433-443, 2001 Q1 (i) Give three attributes that distinguish projects. (ii) Name the four core knowledge areas. (iii) Why are phases with management reviews used? (iv) What is the biggest disadvantage of a functional structure for a PM?
- (i) Any three of: a project is temporary; it is unique; it introduces change; it is cross-functional; it deals with the unknown.
- (ii) Scope, time, cost and quality.
- (iii) Each review is a go/no-go point. The business case is re-checked, deliverables are approved, the next phase is re-planned with better information, and problems are caught early. Because money is committed in stages, failing projects can be stopped.
- (iv) The PM has little or no authority. Staff and budget belong to the functional managers, so project work has to compete with departmental priorities.
(The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfPast exam, predecessor subject 433-443, 2002 Q1 (i) Define "software life cycle" and "software project management". (ii) What are the benefits of using PM techniques? (iii) Give the disadvantage of a functional structure. (iv) Name the four core areas.
- (i) The software life cycle is the set of phases software passes through, from concept, requirements, design, construction, testing and deployment to operation, maintenance and retirement (Part II). Software project management is the planning, organising, leading and controlling of a software project's resources and activities so that it meets its requirements on time, within budget and at the required quality.
- (ii) Better control of resources, better customer relations, shorter development times, lower costs and higher quality; also better coordination and morale, earlier risk detection, and visibility and accountability.
- (iii) As in the 2001 question: the PM has little or no authority, because staff and budget belong to functional managers.
- (iv) Scope, time, cost and quality.
(The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfSelect all the core knowledge areas in older PMBOK editions (MRQ).- Scope
- Risk
- Cost
- Communications
- Quality
A, C and E (and time, which isn't listed). Risk and communications are facilitating areas: they support the core areas rather than leading directly to the objectives.
Check yourselfIn a matrix organisation, a developer's department head wants her on a support rota while the PM wants her on the release. Which "main issue" is this, and which structure would avoid it?
This is the matrix structure's "two bosses" problem: conflict over staff and priorities. A projectised structure avoids it (the PM controls the team), at the price of duplicated resources and staff left idle when the project ends.
- Older PMBOK: four core areas (scope, time, cost, quality), four facilitating areas (human resources, communications, risk, procurement), tied together by integration. Newer editions list ten.
- PM power grows from functional (little or none) through matrix (two bosses) to projectised (almost total).
- Exam favourite: the functional PM's biggest disadvantage is no formal authority over resources.
The Project Manager and the Scrum Master
Who actually does project management? In a traditional project the answer is one person, the project manager (PM). In Scrum there is no such role, and yet the work still has to be done. This section looks at what a PM is and does, and then at how Agile redistributes that work and changes the style of leadership from command and control to servant leadership.
What a PM is
The slides describe a PM as a highly skilled knowledge worker and change agent: someone who takes accountability, makes the project's goals their own, and inspires a shared sense of purpose in the team.
- Working well under pressure
- Being comfortable with change and complexity
- Having the right people skills
- Adapting and resolving issues
- Communicating effectively regardless of hierarchy
- Being action-oriented
- Command and control
- Leadership
- Team building
- Motivation
- Influencing
- Negotiation
- Trust building
- Coaching
- Conflict management (covered in Part V)
A traditional PM's key activities exam
The slides group a traditional PM's work under four headings: planning, organising, leading and controlling. Learn the four headings first, then the items under each.
Agile: "a change is occurring" exam
The slides' message is that in pure Agile there is no defined PM role. The key activities are shared across the team, but they are still done formally, with appropriate documentation, and there is some alignment between a Scrum Master and a PM. (The Scrum Master is the Scrum role responsible for making Scrum work: coaching the team and removing impediments, the obstacles that slow it down.)
The biggest shift is in leadership, which moves from command and control to servant leadership.
The servant leader, as SAFe (the Scaled Agile Framework, Part XI) describes it via Cornelius (2014), does six things:
- Coaches and facilitates teams to deliver.
- Emphasises objectives.
- Is invested in the program's overall performance.
- Asks the teams for answers.
- Lets teams self-organise and hit their stride.
- Helps others fix issues.
From Robert Greenleaf's essay The Servant as Leader (1970). Its central line is "The servant-leader is servant first": the wish to serve comes first, and only then a conscious choice to lead. A traditional leader holds power at the top of a pyramid. A servant leader, by contrast, shares power, puts others' needs first and helps people develop and perform as highly as possible.
Greenleaf's test: do those served grow as persons, becoming healthier, wiser, freer and more autonomous?
Traditional PM versus Scrum Master
The table compares the two roles along the same dimensions. The last row matters most: in Scrum the PM's duties don't disappear, they are split across three roles.
| Traditional PM | Scrum Master | |
|---|---|---|
| Style | Command and control | Servant leadership |
| Authority | Directs and assigns work | None over the work; team self-organises |
| Planning | PM's detailed up-front plan | Team plans each sprint; plans adapt |
| Focus | Deliver to baseline (scope, time, cost) | Value, team health, effective Scrum |
| Control | Track against baselines, correct | Transparency, inspect and adapt |
| PM duties held by | The PM | Shared: Product Owner (scope, value), Developers (own plans, estimates), Scrum Master (process, impediments) |
What happens to PMs in agile organisations
Cornelius (2014, PMI) finds that an agile PM has far fewer activities, because the team absorbs them: planning activities, for example, drop from 24 to 2. Former PMs move into one of three kinds of role. Strategic PMs look after portfolio ROI (return on investment, 1.9); leading PMs become Release Train Engineers (a SAFe role), Product Owners or Scrum Masters; and lagging PMs report velocity (how much work a team finishes per sprint), defects and finances.
So agile changes leadership but does not remove it, and agile teams still plan, just more often (Mountain Goat).
Check yourselfContrast a traditional PM with a Scrum Master and explain servant leadership.
- A traditional PM works by command and control: the PM plans, organises, leads and controls, owns the baselines, and assigns work.
- In Scrum there is no PM role. The Product Owner owns scope and value, the Developers plan their own work, and the Scrum Master facilitates by looking after the process, coaching, and dealing with impediments.
- Servant leadership, in Greenleaf's sense, means serving first, sharing power and growing people. In SAFe's version, the servant leader coaches, emphasises objectives, asks the team for answers, lets it self-organise, and helps fix issues.
(The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfWhich is not one of SAFe's servant-leader behaviours?- Coaches and facilitates teams to deliver
- Assigns each developer their tasks for the sprint
- Asks the teams for answers
- Lets teams self-organise and hit their stride
B. Assigning work is a traditional PM activity (under Leading). A servant leader lets the team self-organise and decide who does what.
Check yourselfSelect all the activities the slides list under Controlling (MRQ).- Defining the project baselines
- Tracking progress
- Assigning work
- Staffing all positions
- Reporting status
A, B and E (plus deciding on and taking corrective action). C belongs to Leading and D to Organising. A common slip is to file "defining baselines" under Planning.
Check yourself"Agile teams don't need planning or leadership." Use Cornelius (2014) to rebut this.
Cornelius found the agile PM's planning activities drop from 24 to 2 because the team absorbs them, not because they vanish: agile teams still plan, just more often. Leadership also remains, in a new form: strategic PMs look after portfolio ROI, leading PMs become RTEs, POs or Scrum Masters, and lagging PMs report velocity, defects and finances.
- A traditional PM's work falls under planning, organising, leading and controlling, in a command-and-control style.
- In pure Agile there is no PM role: the duties are shared among Product Owner, Developers and Scrum Master, and leadership shifts to servant leadership (Greenleaf: serve first; do those served grow?).
- Agile changes leadership but doesn't remove it: planning activities fall from 24 to 2 because the team absorbs them.
Project Success and Failure
Software projects have a poor reputation, and much of the rest of the subject exists to improve the odds. But before you can improve the odds you need to agree what "success" even means, and know which factors really drive it. This section covers the slides' thought experiment, the industry's best-known scorecard (the Standish Group's CHAOS reports), why projects fail, and how good PM counters each cause.
"Success or failure: you decide"
A Week 1 slide describes two projects. Project 1 was estimated at $500m, cost $1.35bn (+170%), and took more than 5 years. Project 2 was estimated at $7m and 6 years, but finished at $102m and 16 years.
Project 2's overrun is worth computing the way an exam would want it, because "percent over budget" is measured against the estimate:
% over budget = (actual − estimate) / estimate
= (102 − 7) / 7
= 95 / 7
= 13.57 → 1,357% over budget, and 16 − 6 = 10 years late
Project 2 matches the Sydney Opera House, which failed on the triple constraint and yet became a national icon. The lesson is that success depends on the criteria, the stakeholder and the time horizon: a taxpayer at the time and a tourist today would give different verdicts. That is why success criteria should be defined in the charter (1.10), before arguments start.
The CHAOS categories exam
The Standish Group's CHAOS reports survey thousands of IT projects and sort each into one of three categories.
- A successful project is on time and on budget, with all features and functions as initially specified.
- A challenged project is completed and operational, but over budget, over time, or with fewer features.
- A failed project is cancelled during development. The 2009 report also counts systems that were delivered but never used.
Across all IT projects, the figures barely move between 2011 and 2015, and challenged is the largest category in every year.
| All IT projects | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Successful | 29% | 27% | 31% | 28% | 29% |
| Challenged | 49% | 56% | 50% | 55% | 52% |
| Failed | 22% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 19% |
Over a longer span, success was 16% in 1994 and 32% in 2009 (ProjectSmart). In 2015 Standish redefined success as on time, on budget, with a satisfactory result, because some projects had met the triple constraint yet delivered no value. (Notice the parallel with the Opera House: the old definition could call a useless project a success and an icon a failure.)
Three more findings from CHAOS 2015
The 2015 report, as InfoQ describes it, covered 50,000 projects and had three other findings.
- Agile beats waterfall at every project size. Overall, 39% of agile projects succeeded and 9% failed, against 11% and 29% for waterfall. Among large projects, 18% of agile ones succeeded compared with 3% of waterfall ones.
- Small projects make up 62% of all successful projects, against 2% for "grand" ones, since the larger and more complex a project is, the riskier it is. Agile helps "by failing earlier and restarting faster".
- Vague goals beat precise ones, because "only that which is unknown produces real value".
The CHAOS 2015 success factors exam
The slides list ten factors, each with a percentage weight, and the meanings come from InfoQ. Notice how much of the weight sits in the first four.
| # | Factor | % | Meaning |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Executive sponsorship | 15 | Financial and emotional executive backing |
| 2 | Emotional maturity | 15 | How people work together (soft skills) |
| 3 | User involvement | 15 | Users in decisions, reviews, prototyping |
| 4 | Optimisation (statement of requirements) | 15 | Managing scope by relative business value |
| 5 | Skilled resources | 10 | Staff who know business and technology |
| 6 | Standard architecture | 8 | Consistent integrated practices and products |
| 7 | Agile process | 7 | Team and Product Owner skilled in agile |
| 8 | Modest execution | 6 | Few moving parts; tools used sparingly |
| 9 | PM expertise | 5 | Applying PM knowledge and techniques |
| 10 | Clear business objectives | 4 | Shared understanding of purpose; strategic fit |
The slides draw three conclusions from this list.
- The factors are relatively constant over time.
- The top four, which together account for 60%, are non-technical and hard to change.
- A broader organisational system is at play, which is why simply "knowing the reasons" doesn't fix them.
ProjectSmart (2009) points out that CHAOS ignores quality, risk and customer satisfaction (the same three the triple-constraint critics add), and that its methods are opaque. It remains the best-known benchmark anyway, so expect it in the exam.
Why projects fail exam
The common causes are these. Many are the CHAOS success factors turned upside down.
- There is no executive support.
- User involvement is poor.
- Objectives are unclear or requirements keep changing, which leads to scope creep: the slow, uncontrolled growth of scope as small additions pile up without matching changes to time or budget.
- Estimates and schedules are unrealistic.
- Risk, such as new technology, goes unmanaged.
- Staff are unskilled or inexperienced.
- Communication and stakeholder management are poor. (A stakeholder is anyone who affects, or is affected by, the project.)
- Monitoring and control are weak, so slippage is spotted late.
- The project is large and complex.
- The organisation makes strategic or organisational mistakes.
The slides illustrate strategic mistakes with digital-transformation stories, citing Forbes (2019): "70% of digital transformations fail".
- GE focused on size rather than quality.
- Ford ran its digital service separately instead of integrating it with the business.
- P&G ignored the competition and the coming economic crash.
How good PM contributes to success exam
Good PM counters each failure cause with a specific practice. Most of these practices are the subject of a later Part.
Check yourselfUnder CHAOS, which category does a project fall into if it was delivered and is in use, but finished three months late with all features?- Successful
- Challenged
- Failed
- Cancelled
B, challenged. It was completed and operational, but over time. "Failed" is reserved for projects cancelled during development (and, from 2009, systems delivered but never used).
Check yourselfA report says "62% of successful projects were small". A classmate concludes "62% of small projects succeed". Is that right?
No. The 62% is a share of the successful projects, not of the small ones. It says small projects dominate the successes; it says nothing directly about the success rate of small projects. This exact misreading is on the guide's pitfalls list.
Check yourselfSelect all CHAOS 2015 success factors that are among the top four (MRQ: 2 or 3 correct).- Executive sponsorship
- Skilled resources
- User involvement
- PM expertise
- Agile process
A and C. The top four (15% each, 60% in all) are executive sponsorship, emotional maturity, user involvement and optimisation. Skilled resources is 5th (10%), agile process 7th (7%) and PM expertise only 9th (5%).
Check yourself"The Sydney Opera House was 1,357% over budget and 10 years late, so it failed." Discuss, using the CHAOS categories.
- CHAOS defines three categories: successful (on time, on budget, all features), challenged (delivered but late, over budget or short of features) and failed (cancelled). The Opera House was delivered, so under CHAOS it was challenged, not failed.
- Judged by long-term value and satisfaction, it is an icon.
- Success therefore depends on the criteria, the perspective and the time frame. That is why Standish moved to a "satisfactory result", and why the charter should set success criteria.
(The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfPast exam, predecessor subject 433-341, 2008 Q2 What is the main purpose of PM? Discuss why projects fail and how good PM contributes to success.
- Purpose. To achieve the objectives within scope, time, cost and quality while managing risk and expectations, so that delivery is predictable and controlled.
- Why projects fail. CHAOS finds only about 29% of projects succeed, and that the top success factors are non-technical. The main causes are no executive support, poor user involvement, unclear requirements and scope creep, unrealistic estimates, unmanaged risk (such as new technology), unskilled staff, poor communication, weak monitoring, and size.
- How PM helps. The business case and charter give clear goals, and the plan rests on realistic estimates. Risk management tackles the unknowns early, change control stops scope creep, and stakeholder management keeps users involved. Monitoring against baselines prompts early correction, QA (quality assurance) catches defects, and leadership sustains the team.
(The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfPast exam, predecessor subject 433-341, 2009 Q1 A port authority wants an 18-month project to build a ship-monitoring system using new monitoring hardware, with modelling work that is hard to estimate. How will good PM contribute to its success?
- Risk management addresses the new hardware and the uncertainty in the modelling. Both risks are reduced by the planned feasibility study and prototypes, within an iterative lifecycle.
- Realistic estimation uses three-point estimates and the critical path (Part VIII), holds a go/no-go review after the feasibility study, and puts scarce people on the critical tasks.
- Stakeholder and communication management covers the port authority, pilots, tug operators and shipping lines.
- QA matters because the system is safety-critical, since it deals with ship separation.
- Monitoring and change control handle the surprises that new technology will bring.
(The study guide's model answer.) Notice the technique: every point is tied to a fact from the case.
- Success depends on criteria, stakeholder and time horizon (the Opera House: 1,357% over budget, yet an icon), so define success criteria in the charter.
- CHAOS: successful (on time, on budget, all features), challenged (delivered but late/over/short), failed (cancelled). About 29% succeed; challenged is always largest. Agile beats waterfall at every size.
- The top four success factors (60%) are non-technical. Good PM counters each failure cause with a specific practice.
Project Screening and Selection
"If you don't know where you're going, any road will take you there." Every organisation has more project ideas than people and money to carry them out. Without a deliberate way of choosing, the loudest idea wins rather than the best one. So, the slides argue, organisations need a formal, structured approach to select, prioritise, oversee and drive accountability across all their projects. This is the first of the four initiation steps: screening, then the business case (1.8), investment appraisal (1.9) and the charter (1.10).
Screening criteria
Projects are screened against several criteria:
- Strategic alignment: does it serve the organisation's strategy?
- Mandatory or discretionary? Regulatory work or a hardware refresh must proceed regardless of its return; only discretionary work competes on merit.
- Financial return, measured by investment appraisal (1.9).
- Risk and achievability: can it realistically be done?
- Resources and dependencies: are the people available, and what else must happen first?
- Non-financial benefits, such as safety and reputation.
The weighted scoring model (worked)
How do you combine several criteria into one ranking? A weighted scoring model gives each project a score (1–10) on each criterion, multiplies each score by the criterion's weight, and adds the results. The project with the highest total ranks first.
weighted score = Σ (weight of criterion × project's score on it), with Σ weights = 1
- The starting table. Each project has a score from 1 to 10 on each criterion, and each criterion has a weight. The weights sum to 1 and reflect the organisation's priorities: here strategic alignment matters most (0.4).
- Strategic alignment (weight 0.4): A scores 8, so 0.4 × 8 = 3.2; B scores 6, so 0.4 × 6 = 2.4.
- Financial return (0.3): A: 0.3 × 9 = 2.7; B: 0.3 × 5 = 1.5.
- Risk (0.2). The scale is flipped so that 10 means low risk, keeping "higher is better" true for every row. A: 0.2 × 5 = 1.0; B (the safer project): 0.2 × 8 = 1.6.
- Resource availability (0.1): A: 0.1 × 6 = 0.6; B: 0.1 × 9 = 0.9.
- Add each column. A: 3.2 + 2.7 + 1.0 + 0.6 = 7.5. B: 2.4 + 1.5 + 1.6 + 0.9 = 6.4. A ranks higher, even though B wins on risk and resources, because A wins on the two heaviest criteria.
| Criterion | Weight | A | A × w | B | B × w |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic alignment | 0.4 | 8 | 3.2 | 6 | 2.4 |
| Financial return | 0.3 | 9 | 2.7 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Risk (10 = low) | 0.2 | 5 | 1.0 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Resource availability | 0.1 | 6 | 0.6 | 9 | 0.9 |
| Total | 1.0 | 7.5 | 6.4 |
A ranks higher, 7.5 to 6.4. The weights sum to 1 and reflect the organisation's priorities: change the weights and the ranking can change, which is exactly why agreeing them is a management decision, not a technical one.
Check yourselfIn the worked example, why is the risk criterion written "Risk (10 = low)"?
So that a higher score is always better on every row. If 10 meant "very risky", a risky project would gain points for its risk. Flipping the scale lets you add the weighted scores straight up.
Check yourselfA new privacy law forces the hospital to rebuild its patient-records audit trail. It scores 2/10 on financial return. Should screening reject it?
No. It is mandatory work (regulation), and mandatory work must proceed regardless of its return. The weighted scoring model ranks discretionary projects against each other.
Check yourselfWhat property must the weights in a weighted scoring model have, and what do they represent?
They sum to 1 (here 0.4 + 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.1 = 1.0), and they represent the organisation's priorities: the bigger the weight, the more that criterion counts in the ranking.
- There are always more ideas than resources, so organisations screen projects formally: strategic alignment, mandatory or discretionary, financial return, risk and achievability, resources and dependencies, non-financial benefits.
- Mandatory work proceeds regardless of return.
- A weighted scoring model multiplies each 1–10 score by a weight (weights sum to 1) and adds them: A 7.5 beats B 6.4.
The Business Case
Once a project idea survives screening, someone has to justify actually spending money on it. That justification is the business case. It turns "this seems like a good idea" into a documented argument that decision makers can check, compare with other projects, and revisit later.
Purpose exam
"To establish mechanisms to judge whether the project is (and remains) desirable, viable and achievable to support decision making in its initial and continued investment."
In practice, the business case does five things:
- It gives decision makers a factual basis for their decision, and shows how the project adds value.
- It uses standard headings (costs, benefits, risks) so that different projects can be compared with each other.
- Its size is set by the costs and benefits involved, not by the size of the project.
- It is a living document, reviewed and signed off at key stages.
- If the case fails at any point, the project should be stopped.
Contents exam
The slides follow the PRINCE2 structure (PRINCE2 is a widely used UK project-management method), which has nine parts. Two of them need a word of explanation. Business options must always include "do nothing" and "do the minimum", so that the chosen option is shown to beat the cheap alternatives. A dis-benefit is an outcome that someone will see as negative, such as disruption, retraining or extra maintenance: honest business cases list them.
Responsibilities
The slides give each role a part in the business case. The key distinction is that the Executive or Sponsor owns it, while the Project Manager prepares it. (In PRINCE2, the Executive is the sponsor's role on the project board, and Senior Users represent the people who will use the product and receive its benefits.)
Don't say the PM owns the business case: the sponsor does. The PM prepares and updates it. And keep the business case (which decides whether to invest) separate from the charter (which authorises the project).
Where the business case sits in a project's life
The business case is not written once and filed. Step through its journey from the first idea to benefits validation at close.
- It starts with an idea or a mandate, an instruction from corporate to look into something.
- Screening and selection (1.7) checks it against strategy, return, risk and resources.
- A survivor gets a business case, including the investment appraisal (NPV, ROI, payback; 1.9).
- Decision makers approve or not. If not, the idea is rejected or sent back for rework.
- If approved, the sponsor signs the project charter (1.10), which formally authorises the project.
- The PM writes the plan and the team executes it. At every stage review (gate) the business case is re-checked: it is a living document, and if it fails, the project should be stopped.
- At the end the project closes, and the benefits are validated against what the business case promised (by corporate, as the roles diagram shows).
Check yourselfWhat is the purpose of a business case? List its contents and say who owns and who prepares it.
Purpose: to judge whether the project is, and remains, desirable, viable and achievable, giving a factual basis for initial and continued investment. It is a living document.
Contents: executive summary, reasons, options, benefits, dis-benefits, timescale, costs, investment appraisal and major risks.
Ownership: the Sponsor owns it, while the PM prepares and updates it. (The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfWho owns the business case?- The Project Manager
- The Executive / Sponsor
- Project Assurance
- The Senior Users
B. The Executive / Sponsor owns it and reviews the benefits throughout. The PM (A) prepares it; Assurance (C) helps develop it and ensures value for money; Senior Users (D) accept and deliver the benefits.
Check yourselfSelect all items that belong in a PRINCE2-style business case (MRQ: 2 or 3 correct).- A "do nothing" option
- The sprint backlog
- Expected dis-benefits
- The detailed task schedule
- Investment appraisal
A, C and E. "Do nothing" belongs under business options, and dis-benefits and investment appraisal are parts 5 and 8. The sprint backlog and detailed schedule belong to planning and execution, long after the business case.
Check yourselfHalfway through a project, a competitor releases a free product that removes most of the expected benefits. What does the business case process say should happen?
At the next stage review the business case is re-checked. It is no longer viable (the benefits no longer justify the costs), and the slides say that if the case fails, the project should be stopped. That is the point of keeping it a living document.
- A business case judges whether a project is, and remains, desirable, viable and achievable. It is living: re-checked at every stage, and the project stops if it fails.
- Nine PRINCE2 parts: summary, reasons, options (incl. do nothing/minimum), benefits, dis-benefits, timescale, costs, investment appraisal, risks.
- The Sponsor owns it; the PM prepares it.
Investment Appraisal: NPV, ROI and Payback exam
A business case must answer "is this worth the money?", and for most projects that is a question with numbers in it. For non-mandatory projects the main benefit is often financial, which is what investment appraisal measures. The slides cover four techniques: Return On Investment (ROI), Net Present Value (NPV), the payback period and the Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM). They also warn that "it is not always about the best return": organisations must invest across the whole business, not only in the most profitable idea.
This is calculation territory: expect to fill in a discounting table and compute NPV, ROI and payback with a calculator, then make and justify a decision. Show every step: the discount factors, the discounted rows, the totals and the interpolation. Then state the decision rule you applied (NPV > 0? ROI above the hurdle?).
The time value of money
Would you rather have $100 today or $100 in three years? Today, because you could put it to work and have more than $100 by then. So a dollar in the future is worth less than a dollar today, and to compare cash arriving in different years we must convert every amount into today's value. That conversion is called discounting.
PV = FV / (1 + r)t and DF = 1 / (1 + r)t, so PV = FV × DF.
- FV (future value) is the amount received in year t; PV (present value) is what it is worth today.
- r is the required rate of return (the discount rate), e.g. 10% = 0.10.
- Year 0 is now, so its DF = 1/(1 + r)0 = 1.
The formulas
NPV = Σ (Benefits_t − Costs_t) / (1 + r)^t
accept if NPV > 0; prefer the option with the higher NPV
ROI = (total discounted benefits − total discounted costs)
÷ total discounted costs
compare with the hurdle rate (typically 11–14%)
Payback = years before break-even
+ (unrecovered amount ÷ net flow in the break-even year)
shorter = less risk
- NPV (net present value) adds up every year's net cash flow in today's dollars. A positive NPV means the project earns more than the required rate r, so accept it; between options, prefer the higher NPV.
- ROI, in the slides' version, is the discounted profit divided by the discounted costs. Higher is better, and you compare it with the required or minimum acceptable rate of return (the hurdle rate), which the slides put at typically 11–14%.
- The payback period is the time until the cumulative (running-total) net cash flow reaches 0, the break-even point. A shorter payback means less risk. Discounted payback is the same calculation using discounted flows.
- A Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM) is a very early, low-accuracy estimate used to screen ideas. PMBOK gives its range as −25% to +75%, whereas a later definitive estimate is about −5% to +10%.
Worked example: Project A
Project A (all figures in $k, r = 10%) costs 200 up front and 20 a year to run, and brings benefits of 100, 120 and 140 in years 1–3. Step through the stepper to fill in the discounting table one year at a time, exactly as you would in the exam.
- Project A, in $k, with a required rate of return r = 10%. Start from the plain cash flows: costs and benefits per year, and net cash flow = benefits − costs. Year 0 is "now": the up-front cost of 200.
- Work out the discount factor for each year: DF = 1/(1 + r)t = 1/1.1t. Year 0: 1/1.10 = 1. Year 1: 1/1.1 = 0.9091. Year 2: 1/1.21 = 0.8264. Year 3: 1/1.331 = 0.7513.
- Year 0. DF = 1, so nothing changes: discounted costs 200 × 1 = 200.00, discounted benefits 0.00, discounted net −200.00. Money spent today is already in today's dollars: never discount year 0.
- Year 1. Multiply by 0.9091: costs 20 × 0.9091 = 18.18; benefits 100 × 0.9091 = 90.91; net 90.91 − 18.18 = 72.73.
- Year 2. Multiply by 0.8264: costs 20 × 0.8264 = 16.53; benefits 120 × 0.8264 = 99.17; net 99.17 − 16.53 = 82.64.
- Year 3. Multiply by 0.7513: costs 20 × 0.7513 = 15.03; benefits 140 × 0.7513 = 105.18; net 105.18 − 15.03 = 90.16. Notice how the same 20 of cost shrinks from 20 to 15.03 the further away it is.
- Totals and NPV. Discounted costs: 200 + 18.18 + 16.53 + 15.03 = 249.74. Discounted benefits: 0 + 90.91 + 99.17 + 105.18 = 295.27. NPV = 295.27 − 249.74 = +45.53, about +$45.5k. It is positive, so the project beats the 10% required rate: accept it.
- ROI (slides) divides by the discounted costs: 45.53 / 249.74 = 18.2%, above an 11–14% hurdle. Undiscounted it would be (360 − 260)/260 = 38.5%, so discounting makes a real difference.
- Payback. Keep a running total of net cash flow: −200, −200 + 80 = −120, −120 + 100 = −20, −20 + 120 = +100. It turns positive during year 3. After year 2, 20 is still unrecovered and year 3's net flow is 120, so payback = 2 + 20/120 = 2.17 years.
- Discounted payback does the same with the discounted net row: −200, −127.27, −44.63, +45.53. After year 2, 44.63 is unrecovered and year 3 brings 90.16, so discounted payback = 2 + 44.63/90.16 = 2.495 ≈ 2.5 years, later than simple payback because future money is worth less.
| Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costs | 200 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 260 |
| Benefits | 0 | 100 | 120 | 140 | 360 |
| Net cash flow | −200 | 80 | 100 | 120 | 100 |
| DF = 1/1.1t | 1.0000 | 0.9091 | 0.8264 | 0.7513 | |
| Discounted costs | 200.00 | 18.18 | 16.53 | 15.03 | 249.74 |
| Discounted benefits | 0.00 | 90.91 | 99.17 | 105.18 | 295.27 |
| Discounted net | −200.00 | 72.73 | 82.64 | 90.16 | 45.53 |
| Cumulative net | −200 | −120 | −20 | +100 | |
| Cumulative discounted net | −200.00 | −127.27 | −44.63 | +45.53 |
- NPV = 295.27 − 249.74 = +$45.5k. Because it is positive, the project beats the 10% required rate, so accept it.
- ROI = 45.53 / 249.74 = 18.2%, which is above an 11–14% hurdle. Undiscounted, it would be (360 − 260)/260 = 38.5%, so discounting makes a real difference.
- After year 2, 20 is still unrecovered and year 3's net flow is 120, so payback = 2 + 20/120 = 2.17 years.
- On discounted flows, 44.63 is still unrecovered after year 2, so discounted payback = 2 + 44.63/90.16 = 2.495 ≈ 2.5 years.
Project B, and when NPV and payback disagree
Project B has net flows of −100, +70, +40 and +10 (same r = 10%).
- Project B, same r = 10%. This time we only have the net cash flows: −100 now, then +70, +40 and +10. B is cheaper and pays back fast, but its returns fade.
- The discount factors are the same as for A, because r and the years are the same: 1, 0.9091, 0.8264, 0.7513.
- Year 0: −100 × 1 = −100.00.
- Year 1: 70 × 0.9091 = 63.64.
- Year 2: 40 × 0.8264 = 33.06.
- Year 3: 10 × 0.7513 = 7.51.
- NPV = −100 + 63.64 + 33.06 + 7.51 = +$4.2k. Positive, so B also beats 10%, but only just.
- Payback. Cumulative net: −100, −30, +10. After year 1, 30 is unrecovered and year 2 brings 40, so payback = 1 + 30/40 = 1.75 years, much faster than A's 2.17.
So the two measures disagree: payback prefers B (1.75 years against A's 2.17), while NPV prefers A (+$45.5k against B's +$4.2k).
NPV is the better measure of value, because payback ignores all cash after break-even and, in its simple form, the time value of money. Payback is still a useful risk and liquidity check: it tells you how long your money is exposed. (Liquidity means having cash available when you need it.)
Rough Order of Magnitude
Very early on, nobody knows enough to fill in a discounting table. A ROM gives a first, deliberately rough figure. Because its range is −25% to +75%, a $400k ROM implies a range of 400 × 0.75 = $300k to 400 × 1.75 = $700k. That is enough to screen an idea, but not to set a budget.
- Don't discount year 0. Its DF is 1: money spent now is already in today's dollars.
- ROI divides by discounted costs, not by undiscounted costs and not by benefits.
- Interpolate payback using the break-even year's net flow (the flow in the year the total turns positive), not the cumulative figure.
- Don't use payback alone to judge value. Use NPV.
Practice: Self-test Q8
Costs are $150k now plus $10k a year for three years. Benefits are $60k, $80k and $90k in years 1–3. With r = 8%, compute NPV, ROI and payback. Should it proceed if the hurdle rate is 12%? Try it on paper first, then step through.
- Self-test Q8. Costs are $150k now plus $10k a year for three years; benefits are $60k, $80k and $90k in years 1–3; r = 8%; the hurdle rate is 12%. Net flows: −150, 50, 70, 80.
- Discount factors at 8%: 1; 1/1.08 = 0.9259; 1/1.1664 = 0.8573; 1/1.2597 = 0.7938.
- Year 0: unchanged: 150.00 cost, 0.00 benefit, −150.00 net.
- Year 1: costs 10 × 0.9259 = 9.26; benefits 60 × 0.9259 = 55.56; net 46.30.
- Year 2: costs 10 × 0.8573 = 8.57; benefits 80 × 0.8573 = 68.59; net 60.02.
- Year 3: costs 10 × 0.7938 = 7.94; benefits 90 × 0.7938 = 71.44; net 63.50.
- Totals: discounted benefits 55.56 + 68.59 + 71.44 = 195.59; discounted costs 150 + 9.26 + 8.57 + 7.94 = 175.77. NPV = +$19.8k.
- ROI = 19.82 / 175.77 = 11.3%.
- Payback. Cumulative net: −150, −100, −30, +50. After year 2, 30 is unrecovered and year 3 brings 80: payback = 2 + 30/80 = 2.38 years.
- Decision. NPV is positive (it beats 8%), but ROI of 11.3% is below the 12% hurdle, so don't proceed unless strategic benefits justify it.
Check yourselfQ8 decision: NPV is +$19.8k, yet the answer is "don't proceed". Explain why that is not a contradiction.
The two measures test different things. NPV > 0 says the project earns more than the 8% rate used for discounting. ROI of 11.3% is compared with the organisation's 12% hurdle, its minimum acceptable return, and it falls short. So on financial grounds: don't proceed, unless strategic (non-financial) benefits justify it. (The study guide's model answer. A rounding note: 90 × 0.7938 = 71.44, which this page uses; the totals, 195.59 and NPV 19.82, are the guide's.)
Check yourselfWhat is the discount factor for year 0, whatever the rate?- 1/(1 + r)
- 1
- 0
- (1 + r)
B. DF = 1/(1 + r)0 = 1/1 = 1. Year 0 is now, so it is never discounted. Discounting year 0 is the first pitfall on the list.
Check yourselfIn the slides' version, ROI is the discounted profit divided by…- total undiscounted costs
- total discounted benefits
- total discounted costs
- the year-0 cost
C. ROI = (total discounted benefits − total discounted costs) / total discounted costs. For Project A: 45.53 / 249.74 = 18.2%. Using undiscounted figures would give the misleading 38.5%.
Check yourselfA project's cumulative net cash flow is −90 after year 1 and +30 after year 2, so its year-2 net flow is 120. What is the payback period?
Break-even happens during year 2. After year 1, 90 is unrecovered, and year 2's net flow is 120, so payback = 1 + 90/120 = 1.75 years. Notice the divisor is the year's flow (120), not the cumulative figure (+30).
Check yourselfSelect all statements that are true (MRQ: 2 or 3 correct).- A positive NPV means the project earns more than the required rate of return.
- Payback takes account of all cash flows over the project's life.
- A ROM estimate is accurate enough to set the budget.
- Between two options, prefer the one with the higher NPV.
A and D. B is false: payback ignores cash after break-even (that is why it preferred B over A). C is false: a ROM (−25% to +75%) is for screening, not budgeting.
Check yourselfA ROM puts a project at $200k. What range does that imply?
−25% to +75%: 200 × 0.75 = $150k to 200 × 1.75 = $350k.
- Discount future cash with DF = 1/(1 + r)t; year 0 has DF = 1.
- NPV = Σ discounted net flows; accept if > 0. ROI = discounted profit ÷ discounted costs, compared with a hurdle (11–14%). Payback = years before break-even + unrecovered ÷ that year's flow.
- Project A: NPV +$45.5k, ROI 18.2%, payback 2.17 yrs (discounted 2.5). B pays back faster (1.75) but its NPV is only +$4.2k: NPV is the better measure of value; payback is a risk check. A ROM is −25% to +75%.
The Project Charter and Integration Management
The business case argued that the project should happen. Somebody now has to say, formally and in writing, that it will happen, and hand the PM the authority to spend money and use people. That document is the project charter, the last of the four initiation steps.
Definition and purpose exam
A document issued by the sponsor that formally authorises the project and gives the PM authority to apply organisational resources to it. The slide puts it as "it all begins with a Project Charter": the charter starts the planning cycle (1.3).
The charter does several jobs at once. It authorises the project and empowers the PM. It records the high-level purpose, objectives, boundaries, deliverables and success criteria (remember the Opera House lesson: define success up front), and it names the sponsor, stakeholders and roles. It is the starting point for the PM plan. And the people who sign it commit funding, so they also control later changes.
The course charter template exam
The course template opens with a document control section, a version table recording the author, revision date, approver, approval date and reason for each version. Seven numbered sections follow, then two appendices.
- Project Purpose gives the strategic reasons for the project and its expected profitability.
- Project Objectives sets out who, what, when and where, plus the estimated duration and budget. It has two subsections: 2.1 Objectives and Scope, which covers the objectives, the scope and the boundaries (what is out of scope), and 2.2 Major Deliverables, given as a table. (A deliverable is any product or result the project must hand over.)
- Overview.
- Schedule gives the summary schedule and milestones (the detailed WBS, or work breakdown structure, is in Part VIII). A milestone is a significant point in the schedule, such as "prototype accepted".
- Personnel and Stakeholders has 5.1 Roles and Responsibilities, for example Project Sponsor and Product Owner, and 5.2 Stakeholders, both internal and external.
- Risk Management has 6.1 Assumptions and 6.2 Risks, each risk with a contingency plan (what you will do if it happens).
- Project Charter Approval lists the signatories who "authorize and fund" the project and must approve changes.
The template closes with Appendix A: References and Appendix B: Key Terms. PMBOK's own version of the charter also lists high-level requirements, preapproved finances, exit criteria (the conditions for closing or cancelling the project) and the PM's authority level.
Business case vs charter vs PM plan
These three documents are easy to confuse, so the table compares them directly. The first row is the one to remember, because each document answers a different question.
| Business case | Project charter | PM plan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Question | Should we invest? | We are doing it: the mandate | How will we do it? |
| Owner | Sponsor (PM prepares) | Issued by sponsor; names the PM | PM and team |
| Detail | Options, benefits, costs, appraisal, risks | High level: purpose, objectives, boundaries, milestones, roles | Subsidiary plans and baselines (Part V) |
| Timing | Before approval; reviewed at stages | At initiation | After the charter; baselined |
Integration management
Integration management is the knowledge area that coordinates all the others (1.4). PMBOK 6th edition gives it seven processes, in this order:
The reading (PMBOK §4.2) makes four points about how these fit together.
- The charter is the main input to the PM plan.
- The PM plan "describes how the project will be executed, monitored and controlled, and closed". It integrates the subsidiary plans (scope, requirements, schedule, cost, quality, resource, communications, risk, procurement, stakeholder), the scope, schedule and cost baselines, the change and configuration management plans, the development approach (predictive, iterative, agile, hybrid) and management reviews.
- Once the plan is baselined, it changes only through Perform Integrated Change Control, where a change control board (CCB, the group with authority to approve or reject changes) decides.
- A kick-off meeting communicates the objectives, gains commitment and explains roles. Its timing depends on the project.
| Kind of project | When the kick-off meeting happens |
|---|---|
| Small project | After initiation |
| Large project | At the start of execution |
| Multiphase project | At each phase |
Check yourselfWhat is a project charter? List the template's sections and contrast the charter with the business case.
A charter is the sponsor-issued document that formally authorises the project and gives the PM authority over resources. Its sections are purpose; objectives (objectives and scope with boundaries, and deliverables); overview; schedule; personnel and stakeholders; risk management (assumptions, and risks with contingencies); approval; references; and key terms. The business case decides whether to invest, whereas the charter authorises the chosen project and frames its planning. (The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfWho issues the project charter?- The project manager
- The sponsor
- The change control board
- The development team
B. PMBOK: the charter is issued by the sponsor, and it names the PM and gives them authority. A PM can't authorise their own project.
Check yourselfSelect all items that are numbered sections or subsections of the course charter template (MRQ: 2 or 3 correct).- Objectives and Scope, including boundaries
- Investment appraisal (NPV, ROI, payback)
- Assumptions
- Sprint backlog
- Project Charter Approval
A, C and E (2.1, 6.1 and 7). Investment appraisal belongs in the business case, and the sprint backlog is a Scrum artefact from Part VI.
- The charter, issued by the sponsor, formally authorises the project and gives the PM authority over resources: "it all begins with a Project Charter".
- Template: document control; 1 purpose, 2 objectives (2.1 objectives and scope with boundaries, 2.2 deliverables), 3 overview, 4 schedule, 5 personnel and stakeholders, 6 risk management (assumptions, risks with contingencies), 7 approval; appendices A and B.
- Business case = should we? Charter = we are. PM plan = how. Integration management's seven processes run from Develop Project Charter to Close Project or Phase; baselines change only via integrated change control.
Applying It to the Medic Case
The tutorials run one case study all semester, and the exam can ask you to apply any idea to it. This section applies everything in this Part to Medic: its business drivers, why it counts as a project, its goal and scope, its business case and charter, and how to handle its triple constraint.
Medic is a virtual-reality (VR) temporal-bone surgery simulator for the Royal Victorian Eye and Ear Hospital (RVEEH) in Melbourne. Trainee surgeons practise cochlear-implant and temporal-bone operations (delicate drilling in the bone behind the ear) on a computer model instead of a cadaver. It uses stereoscopic 3D (true depth perception) and haptics: force-feedback devices that let the trainee feel the resistance of the drill.
- Clients: two busy senior RVEEH surgeons. Users: trainee surgeons, who are not computing experts.
- Team: 12 inexperienced developers who know Java but not C++, 3D or haptics, plus 2 experienced managers.
- Needs: seven key features, with strict reliability, performance and usability requirements.
- After handover: the RVEEH IT team maintains the system.
Business drivers exam
Tutorial 1 flags documenting these as an "intended testing area for final exam", so know all six.
- There is a shortage of quality cadavers for practising cochlear-implant and temporal-bone surgery. This is the problem statement.
- The apprenticeship model is criticised for giving too little focused practice and case diversity, including non-standard cases.
- Patient safety and quality of care are at stake.
- Medical indemnifiers (the insurers who cover doctors against negligence claims) carry risk from poorly trained surgeons.
- Implant manufacturers suffer from the public's perceived risk.
- The clients' standing is involved too: the RVEEH surgeons gain from cutting-edge work and better training.
Why Medic is a project
Medic shows all six characteristics from 1.1.
| Characteristic | Evidence in Medic |
|---|---|
| Change | A new training method |
| Temporary | Ends with handover to RVEEH IT |
| Cross-functional | Surgeons, developers, managers, hospital IT and a vendor |
| Unknown | The achievable realism is uncertain; C++, stereoscopic 3D and haptics are all new to the team |
| Unique | A one-off simulator, built for RVEEH's needs |
| Size | 12 developers plus 2 managers |
Goal versus scope
The goal is safer, more competent surgeons, achieved through diverse, repeatable practice without cadavers. The scope is seven features: load model; stereoscopic rendering; 3D and microscope viewing; select procedure and configure haptics; perform procedure; save and restore; and replay and pause. The boundaries might, for example, rule out patient-specific scans and other specialties.
Success criteria
These are illustrative, drawn from the case's reliability, performance and usability needs. Notice that each one can be checked, which is what makes a success criterion useful.
Business case
Charter sketch
A charter for Medic would fill the template sections (1.10) like this.
| Template section | Medic content |
|---|---|
| Purpose, objectives, scope | As above: the six drivers, the goal, the seven features and the boundaries |
| Deliverables | The simulator, bone models, a user guide and maintenance documentation |
| Milestones | Haptics prototype → core procedure feature → save/replay → acceptance |
| Roles | RVEEH is the sponsor; the client surgeons act as Product Owner and senior users; the management team acts as PM; then the developers |
| Stakeholders | Internal (developers, management); external (surgeons, trainees, RVEEH IT, the vendor); indirectly patients, indemnifiers and implant makers |
| Assumptions | Haptic devices are available; the surgeons are available for feedback |
| Risks and contingencies | Inexperience in C++, 3D and haptics → training and an early technical spike (a short, time-boxed experiment to learn something). Realism may be unachievable → prototype early with the surgeons. C++ is negotiable → agree the language with RVEEH IT early. |
| Approval | The sponsor and the clients |
Triple constraint and approach
Resources are fixed and inexperienced and scope is uncertain, so the side to give is scope: flex scope by delivering load, view and perform first, and save and replay later.
The approach should combine four things:
- an iterative or hybrid lifecycle with early prototypes (Part II, Part III);
- servant leadership to grow the inexperienced team;
- close surgeon involvement, which is user involvement, a CHAOS top-three factor;
- an executive sponsor at RVEEH, the top CHAOS factor.
A case question wants answers tied to the case facts. "Use an iterative lifecycle" earns little; "use an iterative lifecycle with an early haptics prototype, because realism is uncertain and the team has never used haptics" earns the marks.
Check yourselfPast exam, predecessor subject 433-443, 2002 Q3 Explain the difference between project scope and the project's goal.
- The goal is why the project exists: the business outcome sought, which for Medic is safer surgeons without cadavers. A goal is judged by its benefits, often after the project has ended.
- The scope is what is delivered and the work needed to deliver it, with in and out boundaries. For Medic, it is the seven features. Scope is judged by accepted deliverables.
- Scope can change through change control while the goal stays fixed, and delivering the full scope does not guarantee that the goal is reached.
(The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourself(Medic) Document the business drivers.
There is a shortage of quality cadavers, and the apprenticeship model gives too little focused practice and case diversity. Patient safety and quality of care are at stake, indemnifiers carry risk, and implant makers suffer from a perceived-risk problem. The client surgeons' standing and training capability also matter. Together these justify a VR haptic simulator that offers repeatable, diverse, risk-free practice. (The study guide's model answer.)
Check yourselfSelect all that are Medic business drivers (MRQ: 2 or 3 correct).- A shortage of quality cadavers
- The team's lack of C++ experience
- Risk carried by medical indemnifiers
- RVEEH IT's preference for C++
- Patient safety and quality of care
A, C and E. B and D are real facts about the case, but they are project risks or constraints, not reasons the business wants the project. Drivers explain why the investment is worth making.
Check yourselfWhich side of Medic's triple constraint should the PM flex, and why?- Time, because the surgeons are busy
- Resources, by hiring experienced C++ developers
- Scope, delivering load, view and perform first
- Quality, accepting some haptic lag
C. Resources are fixed (12 inexperienced developers plus 2 managers) and scope is uncertain, so scope is the side to give: deliver load, view and perform first, and save and replay later. Accepting haptic lag (D) would break a success criterion.
- Six business drivers, led by the shortage of quality cadavers (the problem statement): know all six.
- Medic shows all six project characteristics. Goal = safer surgeons without cadavers; scope = seven features; boundaries say what is out.
- Charter: RVEEH sponsors, surgeons act as PO and senior users, milestones start with a haptics prototype. With fixed, inexperienced resources, flex scope.
Pitfalls and Self-Test Map
This last section gathers the mistakes that most often cost marks on this Part, and maps every self-test question from the study guide to the place on this page where it is worked.
Common pitfalls
Each pair shows the tempting wrong statement on the left and what to write instead on the right.
"The triangle is time, cost and quality."
The slides' triangle is time, resources (cost) and scope, with quality in the middle.
"The help desk is a project."
Projects are temporary and unique; ongoing work like the help desk is operations.
"62% of small projects succeed."
62% of successes were small projects. The base is the successful projects.
"The PM owns the business case, and it authorises the project."
The sponsor owns it (the PM prepares it). The business case decides whether to invest; the charter authorises.
"B pays back faster, so B is the better investment."
Payback ignores cash after break-even. Judge value with NPV; use payback as a risk check.
To these add the calculation pitfalls from 1.9: don't discount year 0, ROI divides by discounted costs, and interpolate payback using the break-even year's own net flow.
Self-test map
All twelve of the study guide's self-test questions for this topic are worked on this page. Questions tagged as past exams come from predecessor subjects (433-443 and 433-341), not from SWEN90016 itself, and the model answers are the study guide's own, not official ones.
| Q | Question | Source | Worked in |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Objective of software PM; the PM process | Past exam 433-443, 1998 Q1 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Project attributes; core areas; phase reviews; functional structure | Past exam 433-443, 2001 Q1 | 1.4 |
| 3 | Life cycle and PM definitions; PM benefits; functional structure; core areas | Past exam 433-443, 2002 Q1 | 1.4 |
| 4 | Scope versus goal | Past exam 433-443, 2002 Q3 | 1.11 |
| 5 | Purpose of PM; why projects fail; how PM helps | Past exam 433-341, 2008 Q2 | 1.6 |
| 6 | Port system: how good PM contributes | Past exam 433-341, 2009 Q1 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Traditional PM vs Scrum Master; servant leadership | Guide | 1.5 |
| 8 | NPV, ROI and payback at 8%; 12% hurdle | Guide | 1.9 (stepper) |
| 9 | Business case: purpose, contents, owner | Guide | 1.8 |
| 10 | Charter: definition, sections, vs business case | Guide | 1.10 |
| 11 | Medic business drivers | Guide (T01 exam flag) | 1.11 |
| 12 | Sydney Opera House and the CHAOS categories | Guide | 1.6 |
- MCQ/MRQ recall: the triangle's sides, the six project characteristics, CHAOS categories and top factors, business-case contents and owner, charter sections.
- Calculation: a discounting table with NPV, ROI and payback, plus a decision against a hurdle rate.
- Extended answers: why projects fail and how PM helps, PM versus Scrum Master, and anything applied to Medic (especially the business drivers).
- A project is temporary and unique; PM balances the triple constraint (time, resources/cost, scope; quality in the middle) through five process groups and phase gates.
- Projects start through screening, a business case (owned by the sponsor), investment appraisal (NPV beats payback as a measure of value) and a sponsor-issued charter.
- Success depends on the criteria; CHAOS's top factors are non-technical, and good PM counters each failure cause with a specific practice.